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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Active

Current Odds

YES 81.5% $0.81
NO 18.5% $0.18

Price History

YES Price NO Price
Total Volume $4,172,025
24h Volume $431,300
Liquidity $472,419
Trade Count 4,172,025

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

How to Trade This Market

PolyStation connects directly to Polymarket International (180+ countries). Trades execute on-chain via the Polygon network. No KYC required — just a wallet.

1

Install MetaMask

Download MetaMask browser extension. It's your crypto wallet — free, non-custodial, works worldwide.

2

Get USDC on Polygon

You need USDC on the Polygon network to trade. Bridge from Ethereum, buy on an exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken), or use Uniswap to swap. You also need a tiny amount of POL for gas (~$0.01).

3

Connect Wallet

Click the button below. MetaMask will prompt you to switch to Polygon and sign in. Your keys never leave your browser.

4

Place Your Trade

Choose YES or NO, set your price and amount, then click Buy. MetaMask will ask you to sign the order (EIP-712). The order is submitted to Polymarket's order book.

5

Collect Winnings

If the market resolves in your favor, your shares become worth $1.00 each. You can also sell your position anytime before resolution.

Polymarket International is available in 180+ countries. No US restrictions apply. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon. Non-custodial — you hold your own keys.

Condition ID 0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86

End Date 2026-07-29T00:00:00Z