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Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Active

Current Odds

YES 0.0% $0.00
NO 100.0% $1.00

Price History

YES Price NO Price
Total Volume $42,074
Trade Count 42,074

Description

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to Trade This Market

PolyStation connects directly to Polymarket International (180+ countries). Trades execute on-chain via the Polygon network. No KYC required — just a wallet.

1

Install MetaMask

Download MetaMask browser extension. It's your crypto wallet — free, non-custodial, works worldwide.

2

Get USDC on Polygon

You need USDC on the Polygon network to trade. Bridge from Ethereum, buy on an exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken), or use Uniswap to swap. You also need a tiny amount of POL for gas (~$0.01).

3

Connect Wallet

Click the button below. MetaMask will prompt you to switch to Polygon and sign in. Your keys never leave your browser.

4

Place Your Trade

Choose YES or NO, set your price and amount, then click Buy. MetaMask will ask you to sign the order (EIP-712). The order is submitted to Polymarket's order book.

5

Collect Winnings

If the market resolves in your favor, your shares become worth $1.00 each. You can also sell your position anytime before resolution.

Polymarket International is available in 180+ countries. No US restrictions apply. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon. Non-custodial — you hold your own keys.

Condition ID 0xfa2c8ee4088a2614d0dd691d5579e01fe0dbe0f5ecc2cb2b20e49750aff11990

End Date 2026-08-01T03:59:00Z