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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to August 1, 2026?

Active

Current Odds

YES 0.0% $0.00
NO 100.0% $1.00

Price History

YES Price NO Price
Total Volume $44
Liquidity $0
Trade Count 44

Description

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

How to Trade This Market

PolyStation connects directly to Polymarket International (180+ countries). Trades execute on-chain via the Polygon network. No KYC required — just a wallet.

1

Install MetaMask

Download MetaMask browser extension. It's your crypto wallet — free, non-custodial, works worldwide.

2

Get USDC on Polygon

You need USDC on the Polygon network to trade. Bridge from Ethereum, buy on an exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken), or use Uniswap to swap. You also need a tiny amount of POL for gas (~$0.01).

3

Connect Wallet

Click the button below. MetaMask will prompt you to switch to Polygon and sign in. Your keys never leave your browser.

4

Place Your Trade

Choose YES or NO, set your price and amount, then click Buy. MetaMask will ask you to sign the order (EIP-712). The order is submitted to Polymarket's order book.

5

Collect Winnings

If the market resolves in your favor, your shares become worth $1.00 each. You can also sell your position anytime before resolution.

Polymarket International is available in 180+ countries. No US restrictions apply. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon. Non-custodial — you hold your own keys.

Condition ID 0x9e704865da08d2c10eea74e1c30f01907132f7a240966d34b41df87908313b4f

End Date 2026-08-01T23:59:00Z