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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Active

Current Odds

YES 15.5% $0.15
NO 84.5% $0.84

Price History

YES Price NO Price
Total Volume $63,602,809
24h Volume $187,641
Liquidity $794,521
Trade Count 63,602,809

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

How to Trade This Market

PolyStation connects directly to Polymarket International (180+ countries). Trades execute on-chain via the Polygon network. No KYC required — just a wallet.

1

Install MetaMask

Download MetaMask browser extension. It's your crypto wallet — free, non-custodial, works worldwide.

2

Get USDC on Polygon

You need USDC on the Polygon network to trade. Bridge from Ethereum, buy on an exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken), or use Uniswap to swap. You also need a tiny amount of POL for gas (~$0.01).

3

Connect Wallet

Click the button below. MetaMask will prompt you to switch to Polygon and sign in. Your keys never leave your browser.

4

Place Your Trade

Choose YES or NO, set your price and amount, then click Buy. MetaMask will ask you to sign the order (EIP-712). The order is submitted to Polymarket's order book.

5

Collect Winnings

If the market resolves in your favor, your shares become worth $1.00 each. You can also sell your position anytime before resolution.

Set Up Auto Trading View on Polymarket
Polymarket International is available in 180+ countries. No US restrictions apply. Settlement is in USDC on Polygon. Non-custodial — you hold your own keys.

Condition ID 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846

End Date 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z