Fed rate hike in 2026?
Current Odds
Price History
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to Trade This Market
PolyStation connects directly to Polymarket International (180+ countries). Trades execute on-chain via the Polygon network. No KYC required — just a wallet.
Install MetaMask
Download MetaMask browser extension. It's your crypto wallet — free, non-custodial, works worldwide.
Get USDC on Polygon
You need USDC on the Polygon network to trade. Bridge from Ethereum, buy on an exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken), or use Uniswap to swap. You also need a tiny amount of POL for gas (~$0.01).
Connect Wallet
Click the button below. MetaMask will prompt you to switch to Polygon and sign in. Your keys never leave your browser.
Place Your Trade
Choose YES or NO, set your price and amount, then click Buy. MetaMask will ask you to sign the order (EIP-712). The order is submitted to Polymarket's order book.
Collect Winnings
If the market resolves in your favor, your shares become worth $1.00 each. You can also sell your position anytime before resolution.
Condition ID 0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b
End Date 2026-12-09T00:00:00Z